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301 Moved Permanently

November 17, 2022 |

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Our data shows traders are now at their most net-long USD/CHF since Jan 14 when USD/CHF traded near 0.91.

November 17, 2022 |

Number of traders net-short has decreased by 33.81% from last week. SYMBOL TRADING BIAS NET-LONG% NET-SHORT% CHANGE IN LONGS CHANGE IN SHORTS CHANGE IN OI USD/CHF BEARISH 83.33% 16.67% 5.75% Daily 105.36% Weekly -15.60% Daily -33.81% Weekly 1.47% Daily 52.07% Weekly USD/CHF: Retail trader data shows 83.33% of traders are net-long with the ratio of traders long to short at 5.00 to 1. Our data shows traders are now at their most net-long USD/CHF since Jan 14 when USD/CHF traded near 0.91. The number of traders net-long is 5.75% higher than yesterday and 105.36% higher from last week, while the number of traders net-short is 15.60% lower than yesterday and 33.81% lower from last week. We typically take a contrarian view to crowd sentiment, and the fact traders are net-long suggests USD/CHF prices may continue to fall. Traders are further net-long than yesterday and last week, and the combination of…    read more 

UK Fiscal Statement Urges Citizens to Tighten Belts, GBP Drops

November 17, 2022 |

UK Chancellor Prioritizes Stability, Growth and Public Services Chancellor Jeremy Hunt urges UK citizens to weather the storm and promises to protect the vulnerable in his fiscal statement Pensions triple lock confirmed, energy support remains but is less generous and NHS and schools see funding increased OBR judges the UK is in a recession, forecasts the budget deficit for 2022/2023 to rise to 7.1% of GDP, CPI to remain elevated at 7.4% in 2023 Recommended by Richard Snow Get Your Free GBP Forecast The UK’s Chancellor announced his priorities lie with stability, growth and public services as the government plans to raise taxes and cut government spending. Despite over £100 billion to cushion high energy prices the outlook of the UK economy remains dire as the OBR sees the UK already in a recession with real household incomes dropping 7% over the next two years – taking incomes down to…    read more 

EUR/USD: upward correction, if not completed, then close to it – Analytics & Forecasts – 17 November 2022

November 17, 2022 |

In favor of the fact that the downward correction of the dollar is close to completion, is the fact that, according to many economists, the Fed and other major world central banks, in particular the ECB, will begin to simultaneously reduce the rate of increase in their interest rates. This means that the impact of changes in the monetary policy of the Fed and other major central banks of the world on the dynamics of the dollar and major currencies will be relatively neutral. Then the general economic situation in each country with the world’s largest economy, as well as geopolitical risks, will again come to the fore. But here, in the United States, things are better with this than, say, in Europe, where there is uncertainty in the energy market, threatening even more serious disruptions in their supplies, inflation is even higher (according to updated data published today, the…    read more 

The Importance of Liquidity in Forex Trading

November 17, 2022 |

– Reviewed by James Stanley, Nov. 24, 2021 As a trader gets started in forex trading, one of the first advantages they’re likely to come across is how much liquidity the forex market offers over other markets. The latest figures are roughly $5.1 trillion in daily traded volume as per the Bank of International Settlements triennial report of 2016. Forex liquidity allows for ease of trade, making the market popular among traders. However, certain variances in the FX market need to be taken into consideration for liquidity purposes. This article will explain the concept of forex liquidity as well as liquidity risk, ultimately seeking to provide an overall understanding of how liquidity affects trading. What is liquidity and why is it important? Liquidity in the forex market is by definition, the ability of a currency pair to be traded (bought/sold) on demand. When you’re trading major currency pairs, you’re trading…    read more 

Daily Forex News and Watchlist: EUR/GBP

November 17, 2022 |

In a few hours UK Chancellor Jeremy Hunt will unveil his long-awaited Autumn budget statement. Will the release bust EUR/GBP out of its short-term range? Before moving on, ICYMI, yesterday’s watchlist looked at GBP/AUD’s triangle consolidation after the U.K.’s latest CPI reports. Be sure to check out if it’s still a valid play! And now for the headlines that rocked the markets in the last trading sessions: Fresh Market Headlines & Economic Data: OPEC ready to intervene “for the benefit of oil markets” Fed’s Daly sees rates rising at least another percentage point as ‘pausing is off the table’ JPMorgan sees ‘mild’ us recession in 2023 on Fed’s rate hikes Crypto exchange Gemini suffers $485M rush of outflows amid contagion fears AU jobless rate unexpectedly edged down from 3.5% to 3.4% in October AU adds net 32.2K jobs vs. 15K addition expected NZ producer inflation slows down from 3.1% to…    read more 

Room for further decline in the short term – UOB

November 17, 2022 |

The continuation of the downtrend in USDJPY should not be ruled out in the near term, suggest UOB Group’s Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang. Key Quotes 24-hour view: “We highlighted yesterday that USD “could continue to trade in a volatile manner between 138.35 and 140.35”. USD subsequently traded within a narrower range than expected (138.72/140.29). The price actions are likely part of a consolidation and we expect USD to trade within a range of 138.90/140.20 today.” Next 1-3 weeks: “There is not much to add to our update from yesterday (16 Nov, spot at 139.35). As highlighted, further USD weakness is not ruled out, but the solid support at 137.60 may not come into view so soon, if at all. On the upside, a break of 140.80 (no change in ‘strong resistance’ level from yesterday) would indicate that USD is unlikely to weaken further.” Source…    read more 

DAX 40 Index Technical Outlook: Roadblock Ahead, For Now

November 17, 2022 |

DAX, German DAX Index – Technical Outlook: In recent months, the DAX index has held strong support on the weekly charts. From a short-term perspective, the index is running into stiff resistance. What is the outlook and what are the key levels to watch? Recommended by Manish Jaradi Top Trading Lessons DAX SHORT-TERM TECHNICAL FORECAST – NEUTRAL The sharp 20% gains since October suggest that the medium-term bullish fortunes of the German DAX Index haven’t changed much despite this year’s losses. However, in the short-term the index could retreat a bit given overbought conditions. On the weekly charts, the DAX Index in September held quite strong converged support: the 50% retracement of the 2020-2021 rally and a horizontal trendline from early 2022. Retracements of 38.2%-50% are generally considered reasonable after a strong bull run, and not necessarily bearish. {{GUIDE|THE_FUNDAMENTALS_OF_BREAKOUT_TRADING}} DAX INDEX Weekly Chart Chart Created Using TradingView Moreover, despite the…    read more 

Chart Art: EUR/AUD Channel & AUD/JPY Triangle Setups

November 17, 2022 |

Got an Aussie special for y’all today! Take a look at these support and resistance levels I’m watching on EUR/AUD and AUD/JPY. Do you think we’ll see breakouts soon? AUD/JPY 1-hour Forex Chart Check out this descending triangle forming on the hourly chart of AUD/JPY! The pair is currently testing the resistance and might be setting its sights back on the support around the 93.00 major psychological mark again. Is there still some bearish momentum left? Moving averages are suggesting so, as the 100 SMA is below the 200 SMA to confirm that the selloff is bound to carry on. Sustained selling pressure might even spur a break below the triangle bottom, followed by a downtrend that’s the same height as the chart pattern. Just be careful since Stochastic is already indicating oversold conditions or exhaustion among sellers, so turning higher might mean a return in bullish vibes. If Aussie…    read more 

Euro Pauses as US Dollar Underpinned by Fed on Sturdy Data Ahead of EU CPI

November 17, 2022 |

Euro, EUR/USD, US Dollar, Federal Reserve, Crude Oil – Talking Points Euro support wilted after US Dollar resumed strengthening Fed reminded markets of their hawkishness after retail sales European CPI lies ahead. Will EUR/USD regain traction? Recommended by Daniel McCarthy Get Your Free EUR Forecast The Euro climbed higher on the back of perceptions of the Federal Reserve may not be as aggressive on their rate hike cycle as previously thought. Tuesday saw a soft read on US PPI that followed last week’s CPI missing estimates. Overnight though, robust US retail sales highlighted the strength of the US consumer despite jumbo rate hikes this year from the Fed. The data showed sales increased 1.3% month-on-month in October rather than 1.0% anticipated and 0.0% prior. In the North American session, we heard from Fed Board members Mary Daly, John Williams and Chris Waller and they all kept to the hawkish script….    read more 

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